Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.162101 1.318441 1.488916 1.688748 1.916767 2.169062 2.469701
2026-01-11 0.933630 1.148822 1.403923 1.729295 2.134257 2.622974 3.259497
2026-01-18 0.791930 1.030361 1.329762 1.734671 2.270120 2.956922 3.909497
2026-01-25 0.681819 0.927896 1.251611 1.710724 2.348625 3.208725 4.465091
2026-02-01 0.592859 0.838451 1.174659 1.671401 2.391684 3.405806 4.955498
2026-02-08 0.522204 0.764103 1.107167 1.632841 2.424698 3.583670 5.428068
2026-02-15 0.478737 0.722808 1.080419 1.647167 2.531645 3.873750 6.092136
2026-02-22 0.436667 0.678442 1.043408 1.639977 2.601802 4.110686 6.693861
2026-03-01 0.397312 0.633836 1.000852 1.618222 2.644162 4.304349 7.241388
2026-03-08 0.355007 0.580238 0.938684 1.557758 2.615641 4.377337 7.590268
2026-03-15 0.328891 0.550335 0.911510 1.551521 2.675353 4.600088 8.216671
2026-03-22 0.318585 0.545644 0.925105 1.614903 2.859454 5.051458 9.295158
2026-03-29 0.290620 0.510748 0.888697 1.595524 2.909925 5.298501 10.080184
2026-04-05 0.273898 0.494431 0.883863 1.634052 3.073882 5.777618 11.384224
2026-04-12 0.254238 0.470532 0.862616 1.639113 3.174236 6.147110 12.519873
2026-04-19 0.233146 0.441683 0.829094 1.616542 3.217321 6.408768 13.468377
2026-04-26 0.212654 0.411833 0.790538 1.579477 3.226294 6.601592 14.295058
2026-05-03 0.194502 0.384699 0.754441 1.543128 3.231855 6.786541 15.127037
2026-05-10 0.183621 0.370934 0.743278 1.556633 3.343457 7.207334 16.543416
2026-05-17 0.171680 0.353819 0.723612 1.549856 3.409886 7.536758 17.792283
2026-05-24 0.159546 0.335136 0.698884 1.529348 3.443096 7.795056 18.905831
2026-05-31 0.145288 0.310616 0.659558 1.472345 3.386539 7.840623 19.502577
2026-06-07 0.136667 0.297520 0.643585 1.466465 3.448361 8.170639 20.861840